Summary

Antimony is emerging from the shadows as a focal point in critical mineral strategy. China’s export restrictions have rattled the global supply chain, sparking supply shortfalls and price spikes. In response, the U.S. is accelerating domestic production and downstream processing via new contracts, project permitting, and multilateral partnerships. The mineral’s applications—from munitions and flame retardants to batteries and electronics—position it at the nexus of defense, energy, and industrial policy. This briefing examines how antimony is now a key battleground in supply sovereignty.

Key Points

Why It Matters

  • Antimony as a Geopolitical Lever
    Once considered niche, antimony is now weaponized via export controls, supply bans, and stockpiling, making it a lever in industrial sovereignty and security.

  • Downstream Processing is the Value Frontier
    Raw mining alone won’t suffice. Control over refining and purity conversion is where nations and firms will capture value and supply resilience.

  • Inventories & Substitutes Under Strain
    Industrial users with tight tolerances (batteries, flame retardants, defense) cannot easily substitute antimony—supply disruptions are acutely felt.

  • Project Execution Becomes Bottleneck
    Stibnite’s permits are just the start. Execution risk, partner selection, and capital management will determine whether domestic antimony supply materializes.

Watchlist Companies & Entities

Critical Minerals Spotlight

  • Antimony (Sb) — Used in lead-acid batteries, flame retardants, ammunition, semiconductors, solar panels, and chemical catalysts.

  • Refined & High Purity Antimony — Especially strategic; many downstream users require high-grade material, making refining a chokepoint.

  • Substitution Limits — Some applications (e.g. flame retardants, munitions alloys) lack viable alternatives at scale.

Action Points

  1. Watch Perpetua’s RFP process: which firms bid, technical criteria, environmental & financial terms.

  2. Track delivery timelines and performance under the U.S. Defense Logistics Agency contract with U.S. Antimony.

  3. Monitor industrial sectors (battery makers, electronics, defense) for antimony purchase contracts or hedging behavior.

  4. Forecast price trajectories under restricted supply—simulate scenario models including proxy supply from recycling or alternate producers.

  5. Engage with policy and regulation frameworks: export control regimes, strategic reserves, and critical mineral designations.

This briefing is for informational purposes only and is not legal, investment, or policy advice. Information is believed accurate at time of publication. Sources are publicly available.

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